Few regions of the world are as unstable in the face of advancing
climate change as frozen West Antarctica, where rapidly melting glaciers
have scientists on edge about the potential for huge amounts of future
sea-level rise.
Now, a new study has pinpointed some of the most
rapid ice losses observed in the region in the past 15 years - and it
supports a growing scientific belief that warm ocean water is behind the
melting.
"[The study] seems to provide a strong piece of
evidence to support a general hypothesis about what's happening in the
Amundsen Sea," said Ala Khazendar, a polar scientist at Nasa's Jet
Propulsion Laboratory and the new paper's lead author.
Much of
the focus on West Antarctica centres around the Amundsen Sea region,
whose glaciers may already be experiencing irreversible ice loss. The
glaciers backing up to this sea have the potential to cause about 1.2m
of sea-level rise, and the ice contained in West Antarctica as a whole
could raise sea levels by 3m.
Several
of the region's largest glaciers have inspired some of the greatest
concern. Just last week, US and British science agencies announced a
joint multimillion-dollar research mission to study the massive Thwaites
Glacier, which scientists believe may already be contributing about 10
per cent of all global sea-level rise. And a recent study on the nearby
(and slightly smaller) Pine Island Glacier has documented recent rapid
retreat .
Now, research increasingly suggests it's not just
atmospheric warming that's causing all the problems in West Antarctica,
but the influence of the ocean as well . Many glaciers in this region
back right up to the edge of the sea, terminating in what's known as an
ice shelf - a ledge of floating ice that's disconnected from the bedrock
and juts out into the water, helping to stabilise the glacier and hold
back the flow of ice behind it.
Scientists now believe that
rising water temperatures may be helping to weaken ice shelves by
seeping into the cavities beneath them and lapping up against the
exposed ice. If an ice shelf thins or breaks, the glacier behind it
begins to pour ice into the ocean and retreat inland. The point where
the bottom of the glacier actually joins to the bedrock is known as the
grounding line, and scientists often use it as a point of reference to
measure how far a glacier has retreated over time.
Scientists
believe this is what's driving the retreat of the Pine Island and
Thwaites glaciers. But while these glaciers hold some of the greatest
potential to raise sea-levels, smaller glaciers in the area can also
offer some important insights into the processes driving ice loss in the
region.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11736035
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